Due to the potential health ailments that can come with ingesting unnecessary pesticides, hormones, and other chemicals, many people today are trending away from traditional crops to consume only those that are certified organic. While many agree that organic crops are healthier and pose less health risks, the amount of crops grown per acre tend to be up to 20% less than traditional crops. This has led many to wonder whether the world could survive if all farmers started growing crops organically, especially considering the expected population growth in the next 50 years.
According to a recent study and news article (https://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/2016/aug/14/organic-farming-agriculture-world-hunger), it is certainly possible that the world could survive on only organic crops. Earlier in 2016 researchers completed a variety of models that predicted 500 different food production scenarios and compared them to food needs in the year 2050, which assumed nearly 10 billion in global population.
The models predicted that with near certainty that full organic farming would be sufficient if all people followed a vegan lifestyle. If all people followed a vegetarian diet, than there is a 94% chance that organic farming would be sufficient. However, if people continued to eat high levels of meat then the chances of success are far less. The reasoning for this is due to the considerable amount of grain and corn that farm animals consume on a regular basis.
While organic farming may not produce the same quantity of food when compared to traditional farming, there are some advantages that come with organic farming. One advantage is that organic farming tends to be better on the soil. This means that soil over time will be more productive and over the course of several decades, this could lead to much higher levels of efficiency. Further, a considerable amount of energy goes into the production of chemicals, which will no longer be necessary.
Due to studies such as these, it is likely that the consumption of organic products will continue to grow in the coming years. Today, less than three percent of all produce is organically grown.